“I need ammunition. Not a ride.” History Lessons from War, Appeasement, and Markets It’s useful to compare the events in Ukraine against history because we all have a stake in the outcome. In 1938, Hitler annexed Austria; and demanded a portion of...
According to the zany theory called the January Effect, they are supposed to go up. January was rough across most markets. The doomsayers, armed with historical data, were out in full force predicting the “mother of all bear markets” is just around the corner. And...
Between the pandemic that won’t go away and the politics of the day, US stock markets shrugged it off and delivered extraordinary returns in 2021. At least we are closer to the end of the pandemic. The politics I’m not so sure about. Economic growth forecasts for 2022...
Avoiding Bad Luck with Rebalancing It’s easy to be complacent as our account balances have risen over the past twelve years. The record fast market decline from COVID was offset by an equally fast recuperation, driven by large doses of fiscal and monetary stimulation....
The famed economist John Maynard Keynes once quipped: “The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” Or employed. Or happily married. It’s easy to get complacent when we watch our account balance increase during the great melt up over the past...
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