Portfolio Strategy Review Q3 2022

Overview The primary financial headline is the same: Inflation is over 8.0%; Interest rates are still rising. With a lot of political and economic drama beneath the surface. In the time honored tradition, the party in power takes more credit or gets more blame for the...

Portfolio Strategy Review Q2 2022

The second quarter continued the negative trends that we saw in the first quarter. Interest rates and inflation increased, though there has been recent price relief in the housing, energy, and other commodity markets. The labor market remains strong with unemployment...

Portfolio Strategy Review Q1 2022

“I need ammunition. Not a ride.”  History Lessons from War, Appeasement, and Markets It’s useful to compare the events in Ukraine against history because we all have a stake in the outcome. In 1938, Hitler annexed Austria; and demanded a portion of...

Portfolio Strategy Review 2021

Between the pandemic that won’t go away and the politics of the day, US stock markets shrugged it off and delivered extraordinary returns in 2021. At least we are closer to the end of the pandemic. The politics I’m not so sure about. Economic growth forecasts for 2022...

Portfolio Strategy Review Q3 2021

“I hope I never recover from this.”  William Shatner on his journey into space at age 90  Reflation, inflation, or deflation….that was so last quarter. This quarter “stagflation” also began to gain attention. Stagflation evokes fear of the 1970’s when...

Portfolio Strategy Review Q2 2021

“A nickel isn’t worth a dime anymore.”  Yogi Berra  Reflation, inflation, or deflation. How about a libation and we call it good? The range of opinions about the future direction of prices we pay for goods and services leaves us with one concern: Are recent...